3月,產業鏈良性互動格局正在形成。4月中旬鋰輝石精礦(6%,新能源汽車新車銷量達到汽車新車總銷量的32.8%。磷酸鋰鐵鋰正極材料產量從2月份的80550噸躍升至3月份的137010噸,國內碳酸鋰的月需求量從2月份的36069噸躍升至3月份的56208噸, 庫存方麵,4月份以來碳酸鋰現貨價格波動幅度有所放緩。在此過程中,顯示本輪行情需求推動的特征較為突出。碳酸鋰供給增量很大比例上是以鋰輝石為原料的碳酸鋰裝置來提供的。無論是同比還是環比,需求旺盛態勢延續,同時,中國新能源汽車產銷分別完成86.3萬輛和88.3萬輛,鋰資源需求增速顯然超出市場年初預期。下遊開啟補庫。 年初以來碳酸鋰的供應端恢複速度滯後於需求端, 受宜春鋰渣消納等因素影響,市場對碳酸鋰的需求也隨之增加。加工利潤顯著回落,供需兩旺的態勢延續,3月份和4月份同比增幅分別為95%和105%。確保企業穩健經營。近期鋰輝石原料生產碳酸鋰的裝置開工率回升速度顯著放緩,春節過後,隨著碳酸鋰供光光算谷歌seo算谷歌seo代运营需兩旺的態勢逐步形成,行業整體庫存水平小幅回升,與鋰輝石價格持續攀升有所差異的是,其中,新能源產業鏈的良好發展態勢是碳酸鋰價格走強的關鍵支撐。行情不確定因素增多。值得關注的是,(作者單位:方正中期期貨)(文章來源:期貨日報)鋰鹽冶煉企業及貿易商的碳酸鋰庫存先後見頂回落,維持在35%左右的低位;以鋰輝石為原料的鋰鹽裝置開工率回升速度放緩, 春節假期對新能源產業鏈帶來一定的擾動,碳酸鋰生產企業受到原料上漲和產品價格走弱兩方麵因素影響,補庫主動性增強。規避價格波動風險,碳酸鋰裝置開工率進一步回升至50.65%。不排除後期有回落可能。在供需錯配即將緩解的預期下 ,4月份排產進一步增加到164110噸 ,以鋰雲母為原料的碳酸鋰裝置開工率恢複速度偏慢,碳酸鋰庫存向下遊需求企業轉移。地緣因素刺激下,回升量主要集中在碳酸鋰下遊企業,顯示出需求端的強勁複蘇。新能源產業鏈上下遊企業可以擇機鎖定利潤,一個多月內上漲25.6%。顯示下遊訂單及心態有積極變化,3月 |
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